Democrats Hold Significant Midterm Lead as Independents Break Against Trump, New Poll Shows

A new poll from PBS News, NPR, and Marist shows Democratic congressional candidates are significantly ahead of Republicans in midterm races, with independents shifting sharply against President Trump's agenda.
Polling Results
Democratic congressional candidates hold a significant lead over Republicans in the latest poll from PBS News, NPR and Marist, as President Donald Trump's efforts to make the midterm elections a referendum on his presidency appear to be backfiring.
Political Implications
The poll represents a challenge to Trump's midterm strategy of making the elections a direct referendum on his leadership. The shift among independent voters is particularly significant, as this group has historically served as a swing constituency in American elections.
Context for 2026
As the midterm elections approach, both parties are intensifying their campaigns. The Democratic performance in this poll suggests momentum heading into the final months of campaigning, while the Republican party faces mounting pressure to improve its standing with both the general electorate and key demographic groups.
Next Steps
With the Trump administration actively engaged in high-level diplomacy on both the domestic and international fronts, including the Xi summit occurring simultaneously, the political landscape remains fluid heading into the midterms.